After some thought we came to the conclusion that the laurels would rest on three statistics:
1 - percentage of post-season games played
2 - post-season depth
3 - post-season win/loss record.
Post Season Appearance Percentage:
This is simply a percentage of how many post-season games a team has played versus the amount of post-season games they could have actually played in. Most NFL teams have been around since Superbowl I and could have played in 167 post-season games. This includes all wildcard, divisional and conference championship rounds, and of course, the Superbowls. The Following table uses the following abbreviations:
PPSG = possible post-season games
APSG = actual post-season games played
PSG% = percentage of post-season games played
Rnk = Ranking of teams by percentage
Note: Some teams have bounced around the league a bit so I used the NFL's rule of thumb for stats. The Raiders, Rams, Cardinals and Colts retain all stats played under their respective team name regardless of city. The Browns retain all stats from Cleveland and the Titans retain all stats from the Houston Oilers. The Ravens and Texans start fresh from when they entered the league. Also, the Packers and Steelers have not yet played in SB 45, so each teams stats includes a loss for that game. I checked the numbers, giving each team a preliminary win, and it doesn't really move them up or down in any category. After the game, I'll edit the stats to reflect the winner.
Team | Seasons | PPSG | APSG | PSG% | Rnk |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
DAL Cowboys | 45 | 167 | 58 | 34.73% | 1 |
PIT Steelers | 45 | 167 | 52 | 31.14% | 2 |
MIN Vikings | 45 | 167 | 45 | 26.95% | 3 |
OAK Raiders | 45 | 167 | 43 | 25.60% | 4 |
SF 49ers | 45 | 167 | 42 | 25.15% | 5 |
BAL Ravens | 15 | 60 | 15 | 25.00% | 6 |
MIA Dolphins | 45 | 167 | 39 | 23.40% | 7 |
STL Rams | 45 | 167 | 36 | 21.56% | 8 |
IND Colts | 45 | 167 | 36 | 21.56% | 8 |
GB Packers | 45 | 167 | 35 | 20.96% | 10 |
PHI Eagles | 45 | 167 | 34 | 20.36% | 11 |
NE Patriots | 45 | 167 | 34 | 20.36% | 11 |
WAS Redskins | 45 | 167 | 33 | 19.76% | 13 |
DEN Broncos | 45 | 167 | 32 | 19.16% | 14 |
TEN Titans | 45 | 167 | 30 | 17.96% | 15 |
JAC Jaguars | 16 | 64 | 11 | 17.19% | 16 |
NY Giants | 45 | 167 | 27 | 16.17% | 17 |
CAR Panthers | 16 | 64 | 10 | 15.63% | 18 |
BUF Bills | 45 | 167 | 26 | 15.57% | 19 |
NY Jets | 45 | 167 | 25 | 14.97% | 20 |
CHI Bears | 45 | 167 | 23 | 13.77% | 21 |
SEA Seahawks | 35 | 138 | 19 | 13.76% | 22 |
CLE Browns | 42 | 155 | 20 | 12.90% | 23 |
SD Chargers | 45 | 167 | 21 | 12.58% | 24 |
KC Chiefs | 45 | 167 | 21 | 12.50% | 25 |
TB Buccaneers | 35 | 138 | 15 | 10.87% | 26 |
ATL Falcons | 45 | 167 | 16 | 09.58% | 27 |
CIN Bengals | 43 | 162 | 14 | 08.64% | 28 |
NO Saints | 44 | 165 | 12 | 07.27% | 29 |
DET Lions | 45 | 167 | 10 | 05.99% | 30 |
ARI Cardinals | 45 | 167 | 10 | 05.99% | 30 |
HOU Texans | 9 | 36 | 0 | 00.00% | 32 |
Who's amazing? Well, clearly Dallas and Pittsburgh shine here with over 50 post-season appearances apiece but what really caught my eye was the Baltimore Ravens… while they only have 15 appearances, that's out of 60 possible games!! That's a better percentage than New England or Green Bay! But then look at San Francisco in fifth place… behind Minnesota and Oakland? Seriously? Well, that's why we have the other categories…
Depth:
Depth is calculated by adding the points for each post-season win or loss, by round, and dividing that number by the total post-season games played. Essentially, depth reflects how far a team goes once it makes the playoffs. For teams with a full 45 seasons, the depth score tops out at around 3.61. This is due to the first 12 years of the NFL having less than four post-season rounds.
The following table shows post-season games played, (PSPG), depth score, number of byes, wildcard wins, divisional wins, conference championship wins, superbowl wins, post-season losses and depth ranking. Points are scored as follows: bye (2), wilcard (2), divisional (3), conference (4), Superbowl (5) and loss (1). Byes score the same as wildcard wins because that's essentially what they are.
Depth is calculated by adding the points for each post-season win or loss, by round, and dividing that number by the total post-season games played. Essentially, depth reflects how far a team goes once it makes the playoffs. For teams with a full 45 seasons, the depth score tops out at around 3.61. This is due to the first 12 years of the NFL having less than four post-season rounds.
The following table shows post-season games played, (PSPG), depth score, number of byes, wildcard wins, divisional wins, conference championship wins, superbowl wins, post-season losses and depth ranking. Points are scored as follows: bye (2), wilcard (2), divisional (3), conference (4), Superbowl (5) and loss (1). Byes score the same as wildcard wins because that's essentially what they are.
Team | PSGP | Depth | Bye | Wild | Div | CC | SB | Loss | Rnk |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SF 49ers | 42 | 3.07 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 1 |
PIT Steelers | 52 | 3.04 | 12 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 2 |
DEN Broncos | 32 | 2.91 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 3 |
NE Patriots | 34 | 2.85 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 4 |
NY Giants | 27 | 2.74 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 5 |
CHI Bears | 23 | 2.74 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 |
DAL Cowboys | 58 | 2.67 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 7 |
WAS Redskins | 33 | 2.61 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 8 |
OAK Raiders | 43 | 2.53 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 9 |
CAR Panthers | 10 | 2.50 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
GB Packers | 35 | 2.49 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 11 |
TB Buccaneers | 15 | 2.47 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 |
BUF Bills | 26 | 2.42 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 13 |
MIA Dolphins | 39 | 2.41 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 |
NO Saints | 12 | 2.33 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 |
BAL Ravens | 15 | 2.33 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 |
STL Rams | 36 | 2.31 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 17 |
SD Chargers | 21 | 2.29 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 |
IND Colts | 36 | 2.28 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 19 |
ATL Falcons | 16 | 2.12 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 20 |
CIN Bengals | 14 | 2.07 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 21 |
MIN Vikings | 45 | 2.07 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 21 |
CLE Browns | 20 | 2.05 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 23 |
KC Chiefs | 21 | 2.05 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 23 |
PHI Eagles | 34 | 2.03 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 25 |
NY Jets | 25 | 1.92 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 26 |
JAC Jaguars | 11 | 1.91 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 |
TEN Titans | 30 | 1.87 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 28 |
SEA Seahawks | 19 | 1.84 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 29 |
ARI Cardinals | 10 | 1.80 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 30 |
DET Lions | 10 | 1.60 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 31 |
Hou Texans | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 |
Now that looks a little more like a list of World Champions. Granted Dallas falls to seventh because even though they have five Rings, they also have 25 post-season losses which really hurts their depth score. But don't worry, we still have one more category…
Wins and Losses:
The last category is a simple percentage of post-season wins and losses. I don't think that needs much more explanation, so here we go…
Wins and Losses:
The last category is a simple percentage of post-season wins and losses. I don't think that needs much more explanation, so here we go…
Team | PSGP | PSGW | PSGW% | Rnk |
---|---|---|---|---|
BAL Ravens | 15 | 10 | 66.67% | 1 |
PIT Steelers | 52 | 33 | 63.46% | 2 |
SF 49ers | 42 | 26 | 61.90% | 3 |
WAS Redskins | 33 | 20 | 60.61% | 4 |
CAR Panthers | 10 | 6 | 60.00% | 5 |
GB Packers | 35 | 21 | 60.00% | 5 |
NY Giants | 27 | 16 | 59.26% | 7 |
OAK Raiders | 43 | 25 | 58.14% | 8 |
DAL Cowboys | 58 | 33 | 56.90% | 9 |
NE Patriots | 34 | 19 | 55.88% | 10 |
JAC Jaguars | 11 | 6 | 54.55% | 11 |
DEN Broncos | 32 | 17 | 53.12% | 12 |
MIA Dolphins | 39 | 20 | 51.28% | 13 |
ARI Cardinals | 10 | 5 | 50.00% | 14 |
NY Jets | 25 | 12 | 48.00% | 15 |
BUF Bills | 26 | 12 | 46.15% | 16 |
IND Colts | 36 | 16 | 44.44% | 17 |
PHI Eagles | 34 | 15 | 44.12% | 18 |
CHI Bears | 23 | 10 | 43.48% | 19 |
SD Chargers | 21 | 9 | 42.86% | 20 |
MIN Vikings | 45 | 19 | 42.22% | 21 |
SEA Seahawks | 19 | 8 | 42.11% | 22 |
NO Saints | 12 | 5 | 41.67% | 23 |
STL Rams | 36 | 15 | 41.67% | 23 |
TB Buccaneers | 15 | 6 | 40.00% | 25 |
TEN Titans | 30 | 12 | 40.00% | 25 |
ATL Falcons | 16 | 6 | 37.50% | 27 |
CIN Bengals | 14 | 5 | 35.71% | 28 |
KC Chiefs | 21 | 7 | 33.33% | 29 |
CLE Browns | 20 | 6 | 30.00% | 30 |
DET Lions | 10 | 1 | 10.00% | 31 |
HOU Texans | 0 | 0 | 00.00% | 32 |
So, now that we've ranked our teams by categories, all we need to do is average those rankings for an overall score and see just who is the best post-season NFL team in the Superbowl Era!
OA | Avg | Team | PSA | Depth | W/L |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 02.00 | PIT Steelers | 2 | 2 | 2 |
2 | 03.00 | SF 49ers | 5 | 1 | 3 |
3 | 05.67 | DAL Cowboys | 1 | 7 | 9 |
4 | 07.00 | OAK Raiders | 4 | 9 | 8 |
5 | 07.33 | BAL Ravens | 6 | 15 | 1 |
6 | 08.33 | NE Patriots | 11 | 4 | 10 |
08.33 | WAS Redskins | 13 | 8 | 4 | |
8 | 08.67 | GB Packers | 10 | 11 | 5 |
9 | 09.67 | DEN Broncos | 14 | 3 | 12 |
09.67 | NY Giants | 17 | 5 | 7 | |
11 | 11.00 | CAR Panthers | 18 | 10 | 5 |
12 | 11.33 | MIA Dolphins | 7 | 14 | 13 |
13 | 14.67 | IND Colts | 8 | 19 | 17 |
14 | 15.00 | CHI Bears | 21 | 5 | 19 |
15.00 | MIN Vikings | 3 | 21 | 21 | |
16 | 16.00 | BUF Bills | 19 | 13 | 16 |
16.00 | STL Rams | 8 | 17 | 23 | |
18 | 18.00 | JAC Jaguars | 16 | 27 | 11 |
18.00 | PHI Eagles | 11 | 25 | 18 | |
20 | 20.33 | NY Jets | 20 | 26 | 15 |
21 | 20.67 | SD Chargers | 24 | 18 | 20 |
22 | 21.00 | TB Buccaneers | 26 | 12 | 25 |
23 | 22.33 | NO Saints | 29 | 15 | 23 |
24 | 22.67 | TEN Titans | 15 | 28 | 25 |
25 | 24.33 | SEA Seahawks | 22 | 29 | 22 |
26 | 24.67 | ARI Cardinals | 30 | 30 | 14 |
24.67 | ATL Falcons | 27 | 20 | 27 | |
28 | 25.33 | CLE Browns | 23 | 23 | 30 |
29 | 25.67 | CIN Bengals | 28 | 21 | 28 |
25.67 | KC Chiefs | 25 | 23 | 29 | |
31 | 30.67 | DET Lions | 30 | 31 | 31 |
32 | 32.00 | HOU Texans | 32 | 32 | 32 |
And there you have it! Is our reasoning sound? Pittsburgh, with six World Championships and another possibly on the way, places at the top followed by the two teams with five WC's. San Fran over Dallas? Yep, they're undefeated in the Superbowl and they got their five rings in less games than the Cowboys. The Raiders in fourth? Damn right! They have three rings and have been to a quarter of the post-season games they could have played in and they won 58% of those! Baltimore in fifth? One ring and an amazing 67% W/L record in the playoffs in just 15 years!
About the only surprise we found was that the Detroit Lions were not the team in last place. That spot goes to the Houston Texans who have never made a post-season appearance, but take heart Texans fans… it took some teams over twenty years to reach the post season, (SF and NO come to mind,) and you guys have only been at it for nine!
So, questions? Comments? Advice on the numbers? Be our guest and rattle off a comment! We'd love to hear from you!
-M Styborski
About the only surprise we found was that the Detroit Lions were not the team in last place. That spot goes to the Houston Texans who have never made a post-season appearance, but take heart Texans fans… it took some teams over twenty years to reach the post season, (SF and NO come to mind,) and you guys have only been at it for nine!
So, questions? Comments? Advice on the numbers? Be our guest and rattle off a comment! We'd love to hear from you!
-M Styborski
2 comments:
nothing much to add - but that i'm only pulling for the steelers coz of you.
the end.
:)
Yay Miss Termite!! Glad to have you on board. (I won't tell Maitre!)
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